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Home Run Production Decreases

Ryan Howard & Albert Pujols

BASHERS: Howard and Pujols

A few weeks ago, we wrote about the Decline of the Dinger and how it is even more important to select power in your fantasy baseball draft.  It seems as though the guys over at the USA’s largest newspaper USA Today must have been listening as it did a similar article of its own.

Home Runs — Tale of the Tape

Home Runs Per Team Per Game

  • 2000 — 1.17
  • 2001 — 1.12
  • 2002 — 1.04
  • 2003 — 1.07
  • 2004 — 1.12
  • 2005 — 1.03
  • 2006 — 1.11
  • 2007 — 1.02
  • 2008 — 1.00
  • 2009 — 1.04
  • 2010 — 0.95

Interestingly, when you look at the stats by league, it’s the American League that showed the big power shortage in 2010.  The AL saw its home runs per team per game drop from 1.13 to 0.97 from 2009 to 2010.  National League home run output dropped from 0.96 to 0.93 home runs per team per game and it saw its power numbers drop for the fourth consecutive year.  So much for the DH.

Power has always been over-rated in fantasy baseball when compared to real baseball, but the bottom line is that home runs become scarcer, it is more important than ever to draft the superstars who hit the long ball consistently.

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