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Second Half Fantasy Baseball Duds

This is part two of Fantasy Baseball Sleepers and Duds, exclusive to Fantasy Baseball Second half fantasy baseball failuresDugout from Rally Cap Ryan–one of New Jersey’s finest young authors. 

I am back again, this time with my fantasy baseball 2nd Half “Duds/Sell-High” roster.This Fantasy Baseball All-Dud roster consists of the 8 fielding positions (1 player per position, 3 for OF), as well as one SP and RP. This roster consists of players that will make a turn for the worse in the 2nd half. Trade them while you can, before you find yourself dropping them as soon as next week.

Catcher – Bengie Molina, San Francisco GiantsBengie Molina anticipated to be second half fantasy baseball dud.

After a strong start of 2 months to the season (.301, 4 HR, 17 RBI in April & .347, 2 HR, 19 RBI in May), Molina, Bengie in this case, had an average June, batting .275 with 13 RBI, and a horrible July, batting .183 with 12 RBI, and in San Francisco, there is no sign of improvement. Molina is a career .263 2nd half hitter, 22 points lower than his career 1st half average. Molina is also known for having a strong May, as he did this year, and then consistently batting in the .260s to .270s the rest of the season. Try to trade Bengie now while his average is hovering around .280, and he still has some value.

First Baseman – Kevin Youkilis, Boston Red Sox

191 G, 636 AB, 100 R, 17 HR, 91 RBI, .247 AVG.

The above line is Kevin Youkilis’ career 2nd half stats, compared to his 38 HR and 178 RBI and a .308 AVG in 317 career 1st half games. As you can see, Kevin is no stranger to 2nd half let-downs. After a .314 1st half, Kevin is batting .277 in the 2nd half, 37 points lower than his 1st half average. With Manny gone, Youkilis may have to step up in the lineup, which Youkilis may very well shy down from, and struggle. Manny’s departure may very well also get many less run scoring, and run producing opportunities. Sell Youkilis high, while he still has his high value.

Second Baseman – Mark DeRosa, Chicago CubsMark DeRosa fantasy baseball dud

After batting nearly .300 in the first 3 months of the season with 10 HR and 45 RBI, DeRosa batted just .195 with 1 HR and 10 RBI in July, including .182 with 0 HR and 5 RBI in the 2nd half. DeRosa’s 2nd half average is 101 points lower than his 1st half average, with just 2 XBH in the 2nd half. DeRosa is a career “1st half player”, performing better in the 1st half then 2nd half throughout his career. Hopefully DeRosa’s 1st half numbers can manage you to receive some value in return for DeRosa, before you realize how much you want to bench/drop him.

(Editor’s Note — Check out Mark’s wife, Heidi DeRosa, in our Baseball’s Hottest Wives’ section.  We expect Heidi DeRosa to have a great second half of the season.)

Third Baseman – Mark Reynolds, Arizona Diamondbacks

Although Reynolds may not receive you much value due to his .249 average, his 22 HR and 70 RBI should be able to receive enough value to make it worth it. Reynolds is batting just .217 in July, including just 3 HR and 12 RBI in the 2nd half. While Reynolds is known for his exceptional power, he has slown down the pace since his 7 HR, 24 RBI April. As I said above, try to trade Reynolds for what value you can get while you can, before he finds your pine even more than he does now.

Shortstop – Christian Guzman, Washington NationalsChristian Guzman hustling to try not to become a fantasy baseball dud.

A career .259 hitter, Guzman impressed many with his .331 June breakout, but has disappointed many in the 2nd half, batting just .167 in just 30 AB. On a horrible Nationals’ team, Guzman has been in the spotlight while Zimmerman was injured, however, in the 2nd half, Guzman is batting 146 points lower than his first half average. Try to sell Guzman to a contender with a horrible shortstop while you can, before his thumb injury gets the best of him.

Outfielder – Milton Bradley, Texas Rangers

Although Bradley’s split stats say that he should be absent from this list, I can not ignore his past history. Bradley has played 1 full season in the MLB, in 2004 Bradley got 516 AB in 141 G, but has only played in more than 100 games once besides that season (101 in 2003). Fighting through a Quadricep injury, Bradley has played, and succeeded in the past few games, however, expect this injury, or another, to get the best of him, and prevent him from playing just his 2nd full season in his 9 year career.

Outfielder – J.D. Drew, Boston Red SoxAs a Phillies fan, I still don't like J.D. Drew

After a June surge (.337, 12 HR, 27 RBI), Drew has been anything but stellar in July, or in the 2nd half. Drew’s 2nd half AVG is less than half of is .302 1st half average (.150 with 2 HR and 3 RBI). Drew’s June surge did give him plenty of fantasy value, and hopefully you can convince someone of his 19 HR and 58 RBI so far to be solid, and get some value back for him, rather than finding yourself dropping him in September.

Outfielder – David Murphy, Texas RangersDavid Murphy is no dud with catches like this.

After hitting .280 with 6 HR and 35 RBI in the first 2 months of the season, Murphy’s AVG has dropped off greatly, batting just .239 in the last 2 months. In the 2nd half, Murphy is batting 113 points lower than his 1st half average (163), with just 1 HR in 11 games. Although Murphy does play in Arlington, his value will decrease, hopefully you can convince your fellow owners that his numbers are for real, and will continue, but both you and I will know that they will not.

Starting Pitcher – Justin Duchscherer, Oakland Athletics

A career set-up man, Justin (yes, I’m not gonna use Duchscherer all the way and misspell it 5 times, haha) has succeeded greatly as a starter. However, Justin’s arm is not used to this constant 80-100 pitches every 5 days or so, but rather 20-30 pitches every few days. Justin’s ERA has ballooned in the 2nd half, going 0-2 in 2 starts with a 6.92 ERA in the 2nd half. Justin’s years as a MRP will catch up with him, and his body will shut down, or the A’s organization will shut him down, trade him while he’s high for a lot of value.

Relief Pitcher – George Sherrill, Baltimore OriolesGeorge Sherrill may blow some saves for you according to Rally Cap Ryan.

With 28 saves in the 1st half, Sherrill was one of the top closers in the save column, and he still is adding on his 2 in the 2nd half. However, his ERA has continued to climb, as the Orioles have fallen. Sherrill’s Sherrill’s ERA = 4.23 overall, 6.75 in July (8 IP, 6 ER) and 5.40 in the 2nd half. Sherrill has struggled greatly in the 2nd half, with a 5.40 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and .364 BAA. Sell Sherrill to a team with a need for a closer while he still is 2nd in the MLB in saves.

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